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Premier League prediction 2018-19 August 9, 2018

Posted by AaronPorter in Football, Uncategorized.
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1) Man City

Last season they stormed to the title. They seem unstoppable once more. A couple of extra signings, they are surely hot favourites to be the first club to win back to back titles since their city rivals did in the 2007/08 and 2008/09 campaigns.

2) Liverpool

The Klopp project is progressing quicker than many anticipated, and they surely have the most exciting attack in the division. I still worry about them defensively, but they may push City close.

3) Spurs

Once again they haven’t strengthened the squad, and this counts against them. Kane is surely a banker for 25+ goals if he stays fit, I tip them for 3rd partly because I fear the next 3 teams are in decline. But Pochettino will surely be hot property should a huge job come up in Spain.

4) Man United

Mourinho teams have a habit of combusting after 3 seasons. It doesn’t seem a happy ship, and whilst they finished 2nd last year I can’t see them matching that this year. Clear disappointment they haven’t brought in an additional centre back.

5) Chelsea

New manager Maurizio Sarri did a terrific job at Napoli, but he’s not been backed hugely in the transfer market. A front line of Giroud or Morata won’t scare too many defences, a new goalkeeper may take time to settle. This is likely to be a year of transition.

6) Arsenal

The end of an era, and sometimes things get worse before they get better (just ask Man U or Liverpool). New manager Unai Emery has gone about his business quietly, and in many ways Arsenal have gone under the radar. This could help them, but their squad lacks real quality and that hasn’t been addressed in the transfer market.

7) Leicester City

Hard to predict. Arguably they have lost their best player (Mahrez), and toward the end of last season manager Claude Puel looked like he was clinging after some abject performances. Their transfer business looks smart (Periera, Evans & Maddison) in particularly stand out. If they players are behind Puel, I can see a comfortable top half finish. Equally, it could all fall apart.

8) Wolverhampton Wanderers

My surprise tip to do something special. They stormed the Championship last season, and have in Moutinho, Jota (permanently), Traore, Boly and Rui Patricio they have signed some exciting players which I predict to translate into a top half finish. Not sure the Molineiux hierarchy have read the FPP fine details though….

9) Everton

Everton are a club in transition, and the Board and fans believe they have their man in the Marco Silva. He was backed in the transfer market with significant funds. His short spells at Hull and Watford were turbulent with wonderful performances, but ultimately at both clubs he failed to deliver. Everton will hope it’s third time lucky in England for the new Portuguese special one.

10) Burnley

Last season they were the surprise package. Sean Dyche’s stock continues to climb (had Gareth Southgate failed in Russia, he surely would be the front runner for the national job). I suspect that balancing European fixtures, together with the league may see them drop back a little. But this is a club that is no longer the relegation dead certs most have perennially predicted them to be.

11) Crystal Palace

7 games, no goals, no points last season things looked ominous for the Eagles. But the turnaround under Roy Hodgson was spectacular. Defensively organised, and with some great movement up front with Zaha in particular at times unplayable led them to mid table safety. The loss of Cabaye and Loftus-Cheek are big blows, without breaking the bank the additions of Meyer and Kayoute could do a job. Palace fans would snatch your hand off for a dull mid table finish.

12) West Ham United

Former league winner Pellegrini is in the West Ham dugout, and he has been backed with significant transfer funds (Felipe Anderson £30m, Issa Diop £20m, Yarmalenko £20, and Jack Wilshere’s wages & medical bills) will all dent the Hammers coffers. I suspect it may take time for the new team to gel, and they have a tricky start with games at Anfield, Goodison and the Emirates in the first 6 their home form (which hasn’t been great) will be important.

13) Brighton & Hove Albion

A terrific first season in the PL under the very likeable Chris Hughton (hard to admit as a Palace fan). Once again, they look like they have worked the transfer market well and building on defensive solidity their first target will be to reach 40 points once again – which I think they will.

14) Watford

Watford seem to put together great spells for half a season, but never 2 good halves in the same campaign. Javi Garcia did enough to keep them up last year, but I predict if they have a bad start he’ll be for the chopping block.

15) Fulham

The first promoted team to spend over £100m, with some exciting summer signings (Serri, Schurle, Mitrovic) to add to an already promising squad. Jokanovic is an impressive manager, and I think they have enough to stay up – but expect some ups and downs along the way. Another club who will probably need to the Financial Fair Play rules explained to them at some point….

16) Newcastle United

Rafa Benitez over delivered last year to get Newcastle into a top half finish. His reward, practically no backing whatsoever in the transfer market. Rumours abound that the playing squad are unhappy, if Rafa walks I fear Newcastle are toast. A long, hard season ahead.

17) Southampton

They looked dead and buried and Mark Hughes pulled off the impossible last season. They have a decent squad, but there is a vulnerability which worries me. I’m not convinced by their summer signings (although Ings could be crucial if he can stay fit), but I fear another relegation dogfight ahead.

18) Bournemouth

In the last few seasons, Eddie Howe and Bournemouth have done enough to survive. But with Wolves and Fulham coming up, I suspect the standard required to survive will be higher this year. That coupled with some poor runs of form last season, give me a cause to predict that the PL merry go round for the Cherries might finally come to an end. Another team who have also surely flouted the Financial Fair Play rules.

19) Huddersfield Town

Last season was wonderful for Huddersfield. A likeable manager, who pulled off some quite unforgettable wins (who could forget that win over Manchester United). Sometimes second season syndrome can catch you out, and reluctantly I feel this may be the case for the Terriers.

20) Cardiff City

Neil Warnock has retired about 7 times. But he keeps coming back for more. The achievement last season to get Cardiff City promoted was sensational, and it probably would have been a perfect moment to genuinely retire on a high. But who can blame the man for wanting one more chance in the big time. He’s never kept a team in the top flight, and I suspect he won’t break that duck. But there will no doubt be fireworks, controversies, arguments with referees and touchline bans along the way.

Other predictions:

Top scorer – Harry Kane

Manager of the Season – Pep Guardiola

First manager to be sacked – Javi Garcia

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Comments»

1. Laurence McNaughton - August 13, 2018

I really enjoyed reading this, Aaron. Thanks very much! While I am a Chelsea man myself, I also have a big soft spot for Crystal Palace who I always feel are unjustly treated as a non-threat. I have a little punt on them when they are the bookies underdogs. Anyway, thanks again. Hope all’s well with you. L


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